Tuesday, February 17, 2015

On ISIS the USA Should Stay the Course

ISIS: What Must Be Done

Note From the Arab League's Web Page
I share this to highlight the point that the member states of the Arab League have the population and the resources, to be able to quickly raise a multinational force, to confront ISIS.
We should note that the sectarian divisions in the Arab League states, should be challenges for the countries themselves to overcome, in confronting an existential threat. Neither the United States, nor even the United Nations should be expected to have more vested interest in confronting ISIS, than the member states of the Arab League.
Fubara David-West.
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Any move on the part of the United States, to expand its military efforts against the so-called Islamic State, should be predicated on going back to the push by the Arab League that is contained in the following report. The Arab League's member states, should agree to provide the requisite troops and sizable proportions of their entire military forces, to the effort, before the United States extends its efforts. Meanwhile, President Obama and the United States should ensure, that the American strategy that defines what the United States is doing right now is not substantially changed. There should be no massive deployment of American ground forces into the fight against ISIS.---Fubara David-West.
CAIRO (AP) — The head of the Arab League urged its members Sunday to confront Islamic State extremists "militarily and politically," issuing an apparent call to arms as...
huffingtonpost.com

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Debate on the Falling Russian Ruble


This is an object lesson to Russian President Putin. You do not operate what is essentially the economy of a developing country and attempt, at the same time, to delude yourself and the world into thinking that you are a Super Power. The political economy of the great pretense will hurt you badly.
The only problem, especially under conditions of an open trading system, is that the collateral damage to you might ripple out in unpredictable ways and even lead to a major international military crisis.
Fortunately, nuclear weapons, and in particular intercontinental ballistic missiles have reduced the probability of world wars by at least 95 percent, which means that most of the damage, even in a worst case scenario will be suffered by Russia.
Russia and President Putin have to abandon both their gamble in Ukraine, and their dreams of resurrecting a version of the old Soviet Union. They should begin to design strategies, to give incentives to Europe and the United States, to admit Russia into an expanded security system in Europe, with the remaining problems created by the collapse of the Soviet Union, fully solved.
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The rouble crashes to new record lows in Tuesday trading, hitting 79 Rubles to the dollar, despite a dramatic rise in Russian interest rates.
WWW.BBC.COM
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    Debo Awosika-Olumo Fubara excellent write up. Those hailing Putin and scolding Obama when Putin made his stupid bravado can now see who is laughing now.
    14 hrs · Unlike · 1
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    Ray Megwa This is just the beginning of things to hit Russia and Putin.There is this proverb in my place which says"when you cook for a crowd they will eat all and want more,but when a crowd cooks for you not only that you cannot finish it but it will end up choking you"If the present situation in Russia is not horridly managed will bring down the Russian bear.Putin has found himself where the west has cooked for him and I bet you the food will choke him.Going to China will not save him.China wants to be in the good books of the west and the world in general therefore China will not do anything to upset some of his biggest customers moreover US debts are in the hands of Chinese government.So it will be stupid of China to take sides knowing fully well the consequences of a US government default on its debts to China an its impact on the economic growth and well being of its people.Putin and Russia should learn some diplomatic lessons from China on how to go about handling diplomatic issues.(Hong kong and Taiwan are good case study examples for macho man Putin and Russia).The era of intimidation is gone and gone for good.Mr.Putin take note!
    1 hr · Like
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    Fubara David-West With respect to Russia, there are important question for those Nigerians who think, quite unwisely, that Nigeria can afford to play some kind of a balancing game, between Russia and the United States. Do you think that Russia needs Nigeria in the management of its international relations? Remember, that the Russian economy is as dependent on the export of petrochemical products as Nigeria. Russia would, of course, be glad to have a new market for its military hardware, but what would Nigeria export to Russia? Does it make any strategic sense, to tie Nigeria into a constricted Euro-Asian economy, even as open markets define the international structure of politics and economics?
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Thursday, October 23, 2014

On ISIS: What the United States Must Not Do

 
ISIS: What Obama and the U. S.Must Not Do
Whatever President Obama and the United States are thinking about doing to face the threat posed by ISIS, they must make sure that they do not turn this into a contest that the U. S. must win.
The states facing the ISIS threat directly, must bear most of the burden of ensuring that ISIS does not succeed. The U. N. Security Council should also be given the responsibility to deal with the threat to international peace and security, which ISIS represents. This is exactly the kind of a threat that the U. N. Security Council is designed to handle.
By presuming violently to redraw the territorial boundaries of member states of the United Nations, ISIS represents the exact threat that the United Nations and the U. N. Security Council are set up to tackle. They must live up to their obligations. The United States should not take over the function and the obligation of the United Nations, in this case.
President Obama's current tactics and strategy are just perfect, for dealing with this situation.
We might note that most of the states directly threatened by ISIS, have the population, and the money to fund a combined, or a set of unilateral national military operations against ISIS.  
Here is a sample of the relevant statistics from the World Bank, on some of the states in question--
Saudi Arabia: Population 28.83 million; GDP $745.3 billion (2013 figures)
Kuwait: Population 3.369 million (2013 figures); GDP $183.2 billion (2012 figures)
Qatar: Population 2.169 million; GDP $202.5 billion (2013 figures)
Iraq: Population 33.42 million; GDP $222.9 billion (2013 figures)
Syria: Population 22.85; GDP $73.67 billion (2012 figures)
There is no compelling reason, why the United States should take over responsibility for the security of these states, none of which pays taxes to the U.S. treasury.  They must either put up the forces that they need, to defend their territories and their people or face the dire consequences.  
The constant argument that unless the United States takes over the security of these kinds of states, another 9/11-type attack on the United States might be expected, does not have much credence, if critically analyzed. For instance, there was never such an attack on the United States before 2001.  
The only other attack on the United States, which might be considered to be similar was the attack on Washington, by the British Army in 1814.  During that attack, the British army set fire to the White House.  Thus, the 9/11 attacks by Al Qaida were a rare event, which should not be used, to gauge the possibility or probability of future events.
Indeed, with all of the actions and programs that the United States has put in place since the 9/11 attacks, the probability that a similar attack against the U.S. homeland will be successfully launched is now very small.  
Future threats and attacks of a similar scale are more likely to be launched against American interests overseas.  Even if such attacks are successfully carried out, they will probably not have the same kinds of significant effects on the U.S. homeland, which the 9/11 attacks had.  
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Monday, June 3, 2013

Launch an African Solar Project


  • Launch an African Solar Project

    Big Question: Why is it that African countries, their universities and their private sectors are unable to put together, a project involving research and development in solar energy? I have just heard a story on NPR about a new scramble for Africa on the part of international consortia. This is a potentially huge industry for a market that should be worth trillions of dollars in 20 years. Why should Africa not be the biggest consumer and exporter of this industry? Africa should produce the energy-sector equivalent of Google, with headquarters in Africa. 

    I think Africa should redesign the power grid, and make the generation and distribution of energy more decentralized and dependent on solar panels. With the low overhead that production in Africa should contend with, powering up every home and business should employ all of the young unemployed, scattered all over the continent. It should also create enormous wealth and increase the size of the middle class tremendously. 

    If done properly, it would become the project that lays the groundwork for a truly integrated, continental economy. It should also lead to the tremendous democratization of technical skills in Africa and move the continent closer to the great Kwame Nkrumah's dream about what Black Power would mean in an African context.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Another Nonsensical Case on Affirmative Action


There is a persistent myth in the United States, that every smart white person who is not admitted into a 
university is not, because a less qualified minority applicant (at most times it is assumed that the student is an African-American) took his or her place.  In fact in most cases, what we have are equally qualified students  
at the other end of the controversy, who differ in some minor detail with regard to the variables being considered: minor detail, which indeed tell us nothing about the academic abilities and potentials of the 
two sets of students in question.  In the end, what we have is a useful tool in the still enduring racial and 
class battles in the United States, to be used in the courts to beat down on minority students. 

The United States is once more within the grips of the nonsensical cases that get to the Supreme Court,  
having to do with Affirmative Action in admission to universities.  I say they are nonsensical, because at the  
core of these cases is the notion that any single applicant to a University can point to a single factor that  
explains why he or she is not granted an admission.  The notion is baseless, because unless everyone of these plaintiffs can assure the world that they are Einsteins, competing with mere mortals in the admission process
there is no single reason to believe that they are the most qualified applicants.

The Universities keep this alive, by putting together all sorts of complicated formulas for admitting students,  
which give the impression that at the end of the day, a formula will incontrovertibly identify the best  
candidates.  The fact is that no such formula is likely to exist, when we are dealing with human beings.  Meanwhile, all they do is to give an instrument with which any student can challenge the entire process in the 
courts as unfair, racially biased, and logically inconsistent.  

If the legislatures will allow it, all of these complex formulas should be thrown out, and admission decisions  
made in the spirit of academic freedom, by admission offices and their staff, with input from the heads of the 
various departments.  Intelligence, initiative, creativity, intellectual curiosity, community leadership: none of these crucial values at the roots of lifting up a student to becoming a valuable knowledge producer, worker
and citizen is captured by these formulas.


Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Should Netanyahu be Snubbed?


The politics of the United States, unfortunately, makes it virtually impossible to really snub the Israeli Prime Minister, even when he deserves to be snubbed.  Netanyahu's public displays of disapproval with regard to the US stance vis a vis an apparent hunger on the part of the Israeli Prime Minister to start a war with Iran, should actually be denounced by Senator John McCain and others in the United States.  What Netanyahu is doing is in effect, an attempt to force the United States to become an implicit partner in deciding to go to war, before the United States has determined that it is in its interest to do so.

After the experience with the Iraq War, which was started by President Bush, because some of his advisers, and the warriors in the Conservative intelligentia convinced him that Iraq posed a nuclear threat, Mr. Netanyahu should be sensible and sensitive enough to understand why the United States should not blindly go to war with Iran, over suspicions that it is developing nuclear weapons.  However, he has his own agenda, which he has every right to stick to.  There is no single reason why President Obama and the United States should go along, before the president and his team determine that it is indeed time for such a mission.

Israel remains a very important ally of the United States, but it should not dictate the security policies of the United States.  

Monday, September 10, 2012

Playing Clint Eastwood with Romney



The party conventions leading up to the US presidential elections are over.  Let the games begin.  To me the 
games began a few days ago, following the discouraging jobs' report.  As expected, the Republican  
candidate for president, Governor Romney jumped all over the numbers.  Very disappointing!  He declares.  However, there is a tiny bit of significant detail that is missing, and has been throughout the electoral
season: what will Romney do?  It is a tricky question for a Republican presidential candidate, who 
has bought into the myth that government is bad for the people.  The problem is that if one believes that 
government is the enemy and that the private sector and its values hold the keys to solving fiscal, economic and policy problems, there is no reason for the person to run for the highest government job in the country.

That sets up a great parody of the performance Clint Eastwood presented at the Republican convention.  
Governor Romney, you say that the president's economic policies have failed; and that the recent jobs report  
shows that the president's policies have not worked. What would you do differently?  Second question:  if you truly believe that the private sector and not government creates jobs (as Republicans like to say), why
are you running for president, at a time when you know that the country faces great challenges with regard to 
job creation?  

Third question:  you are elected in November.  The treasury department comes to you. and tells you that
credit is frozen all over the country.  We have just lost half a million jobs.  The automobile industry is on the brink of liquidation.  Cities across the country will be forced to eliminate jobs for teachers, fire fighters, and
the police.  Students will soon be unable to get college loans.  What would you do?  Nothing?  Ask the 
Congress to pass laws cutting taxes for "job creators"?  If you have a divided Congress that is unwilling to adopt your tax proposals, what else will you have to offer?