Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Debate on the Falling Russian Ruble


This is an object lesson to Russian President Putin. You do not operate what is essentially the economy of a developing country and attempt, at the same time, to delude yourself and the world into thinking that you are a Super Power. The political economy of the great pretense will hurt you badly.
The only problem, especially under conditions of an open trading system, is that the collateral damage to you might ripple out in unpredictable ways and even lead to a major international military crisis.
Fortunately, nuclear weapons, and in particular intercontinental ballistic missiles have reduced the probability of world wars by at least 95 percent, which means that most of the damage, even in a worst case scenario will be suffered by Russia.
Russia and President Putin have to abandon both their gamble in Ukraine, and their dreams of resurrecting a version of the old Soviet Union. They should begin to design strategies, to give incentives to Europe and the United States, to admit Russia into an expanded security system in Europe, with the remaining problems created by the collapse of the Soviet Union, fully solved.
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The rouble crashes to new record lows in Tuesday trading, hitting 79 Rubles to the dollar, despite a dramatic rise in Russian interest rates.
WWW.BBC.COM
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    Debo Awosika-Olumo Fubara excellent write up. Those hailing Putin and scolding Obama when Putin made his stupid bravado can now see who is laughing now.
    14 hrs · Unlike · 1
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    Ray Megwa This is just the beginning of things to hit Russia and Putin.There is this proverb in my place which says"when you cook for a crowd they will eat all and want more,but when a crowd cooks for you not only that you cannot finish it but it will end up choking you"If the present situation in Russia is not horridly managed will bring down the Russian bear.Putin has found himself where the west has cooked for him and I bet you the food will choke him.Going to China will not save him.China wants to be in the good books of the west and the world in general therefore China will not do anything to upset some of his biggest customers moreover US debts are in the hands of Chinese government.So it will be stupid of China to take sides knowing fully well the consequences of a US government default on its debts to China an its impact on the economic growth and well being of its people.Putin and Russia should learn some diplomatic lessons from China on how to go about handling diplomatic issues.(Hong kong and Taiwan are good case study examples for macho man Putin and Russia).The era of intimidation is gone and gone for good.Mr.Putin take note!
    1 hr · Like
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    Fubara David-West With respect to Russia, there are important question for those Nigerians who think, quite unwisely, that Nigeria can afford to play some kind of a balancing game, between Russia and the United States. Do you think that Russia needs Nigeria in the management of its international relations? Remember, that the Russian economy is as dependent on the export of petrochemical products as Nigeria. Russia would, of course, be glad to have a new market for its military hardware, but what would Nigeria export to Russia? Does it make any strategic sense, to tie Nigeria into a constricted Euro-Asian economy, even as open markets define the international structure of politics and economics?
  • Fubara David-West
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